The Refinancing Cliff: Why PE Portfolios Are More Exposed to 2026–2028 Debt Maturities Than Anyone Is Admitting
A wave of leveraged buyout debt is approaching maturity at a moment when interest rates remain stubbornly elevated and refinancing assumptions built during the low-rate era have quietly become fiction. For many PE-backed companies, the window to restructure is narrowing faster than their sponsors are modeling. The firms that survive this cycle intact will be those that stopped hoping for rate relief and started engineering around it.